new
actuarial production
The production system behind the signed opinion
Pull policy and claims data, build the triangles, run the methods side by side, and draft the memo. A credentialed actuary reviews, selects, and signs.
Data extract
Method compare
Memo draft
Built for the actuary who signs
Why chief actuaries run reserve work on numdog
Every selected ultimate carries its reason.
Expected versus actual, while the quarter is still open.
Triangle quality
Precision
Reconciled triangles before methods run.
Methods side by side
Speed
Five reserving methods in one production pass.
Signing control
Control
The actuary selects and signs. The system only proposes.
Built so the signing actuary stays responsible
numdog is an actuarial production system for insurance companies. It pulls the policy and claims data, builds the triangles, runs reserving and pricing methods side by side, and drafts the memo. A credentialed actuary reviews the work, makes the selections, and signs.
Selections with a stated reason, ready for the signing actuary.
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Stochastic ranges from Mack and bootstrap on the same file.
Policy and claims data reconciled before methods run.
Built for chief actuaries, reserving leads, and captive risk managers.
Which line needs a reserve review?
Ties to Schedule P
Schedule P Part 1 that ties, with a dated exception log.
new
benefits
Fits the close calendar
Exceptions dated under ASOP 23
Missing dates and negative case reserves are logged before any factor is trusted.
Selections with a stated reason
Each proposed ultimate names what moved it, what competed, and by how much.
One line or every line
From one line at a captive to unlimited lines at a mid-size carrier.
The memo arrives drafted, so my quarter goes into judging the selection instead of formatting exhibits.
new
features
Extract. Reconcile. Run. Propose.
Four steps from raw claims data to a memo ready for signature.
Data extract
Extract
Extract policy and claims data so triangles are ready before methods run.
Paid triangles
Incurred triangles
Claim counts
Field lineage
Exception log
Reconcile
Reconcile ASOP 23 exceptions with dates before the triangle is trusted.
Schedule P tie
Dated exceptions
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Blocking flags
Disclosure log
CLAIMS · POLICY · LEDGER
Method compare
Run
Run chain ladder, BF, Cape Cod, and the rest side by side in one pass.
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Chain ladder
Bornhuetter Ferguson
Cape Cod
Berquist Sherman
Memo draft
Propose
Propose a selected ultimate with a stated reason, ready for the signing actuary.
Stated reason
Mack range
Bootstrap ODP
Reserve report draft
new
pricing
Three annual licenses, implementation included
Triangle
One line of business. Captives and RRGs.
$18,000
/yr billed once a year
Triangles: paid, incurred, and counts
Data extract and reconciliation
Chain ladder and Bornhuetter Ferguson
ASOP 23 exception log
Reserve summary exhibit
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Most popular
Close
Unlimited lines. One production pass for quarterly close.
$60,000
/yr billed once a year
Audit file and model inventory
Every reserving method, compared
Quarterly roll forward and variance
Selections with a stated reason
Stochastic ranges, Mack and bootstrap
Filing
Reserving plus pricing and SERFF support.
$120,000
/yr billed once a year
Everything in Close
On level premium and trend selection
The SERFF filing package
GLM class plan support
Objection responses, drafted
new
testimonials
What changes at the reserving desk
Three desks, three different problems, one production file.
We finally have a written reason next to every selection, not a notebook nobody else can read.
5
Methods side by side
1
Stated reason per selection
The quarterly roll forward shows expected versus actual while the quarter is still open, so we correct course before close.
4
Roll forwards a year
1
Audit file per run
Schedule P ties without standing up an in-house actuarial team. Our signing actuary walks in with the file ready.
1
Line of business
$18k
Triangle license a year
Questions?
We’re glad you asked.
What does numdog produce that a spreadsheet cannot?
Selections with a stated reason, ranges with arithmetic behind them, a quarterly roll forward while the quarter is still open, an audit file that documents every run, and objection responses drafted from the same file.
Does the actuary still select and sign?
Yes. numdog proposes. A credentialed actuary reviews the file, makes the selections, and signs. The system does not replace professional judgment.
What methods does Reserve Review run?
Chain ladder, Bornhuetter Ferguson, Cape Cod, frequency severity, and Berquist Sherman, side by side, with weights and a stated reason next to the selected ultimate.
Who is numdog built for?
Chief actuaries and reserving leads at small-to-mid US P&C carriers, and risk managers at captives and RRGs who need a signed reserve opinion.
How does Schedule P tie in?
Schedule P Part 1 ties to the filed statement with a dated exception log, so the scramble at filing time has a paper trail.
Where does the data come from?
Straight from your policy and claims tables. Every triangle field traces back to the record it came from.
What happens when a claim does not fit the triangle?
It becomes a dated ASOP 23 exception. Blocking items, like a missing accident date, stay out of the triangle until someone resolves them.
How are the ranges produced?
Mack and bootstrap ODP run on the same reconciled triangle, so the adverse deviation disclosure has arithmetic behind it.
What is the quarterly roll forward?
Expected emergence against actual, by segment, explained while the quarter is still open.
Does numdog cover pricing?
The Filing license adds on level premium, trend selection, GLM class plan support, the SERFF package, and drafted objection responses.
Is implementation included?
Yes. Implementation is included in every annual license at no extra cost, from data mapping through the first production run.
We are a captive with no actuary on staff. Does this work?
Yes. Triangle is built for captives and risk retention groups. Your consulting actuary directs the file and signs the opinion.
What goes in the audit file?
The model inventory, data lineage, and reproducible runs, so a regulator or auditor can see how each number was produced.
Can we cancel?
Licenses are annual. You can cancel at any time and it takes effect at the end of the paid period.
How do we reach support?
Email support@numdog.com. Licensing and product questions are answered from that inbox.
new
get in touch
Get account updates by text
Notices when a run finishes, when a selection is waiting, and when a report is ready to sign.
Carriers closing on numdog